The Fine Art of Baloney Detection http://www.sidaway.demon.co.uk/skeptic/toolkit.html

The Fine Art of Baloney Detection
by Carl Sagan.
"If you're so inclined, if you don't want to buy baloney even when it's reassuring to do so, there are precautions that can be taken; there's a tried-and-true, consumer-tested method.

"What's in the kit? Tools for skeptical thinking.

"What skeptical thinking boils down to is the means to construct, and to understand, a reasoned argument and -- especially important -- to recognize a fallacious or fraudulent argument. he question is not whether we like the conclusion that emerges out of a train of reasoning, but whether the conclusion follows from the premise or starting point and whether that premise is true."

From his 1996 book, The Demon Haunted World.
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